In a report published on November 13, 2026, at 14:43 (UTC+8), BlockBeats cited analyst Darkfost’s reading of a power-law quantile regression model. Darkfost said Bitcoin had fallen below a key support level and that market fear was spreading, a contrast with what he described as a profit-dominated market a few weeks earlier.
According to Darkfost, the model placed Bitcoin in an extreme-undervaluation range that it had occupied for only about 3.4% of its historical cycle. That figure describes how rarely Bitcoin had appeared in the model’s specified range; it does not, on its own, establish what price will do next. The brief report does not provide the model’s inputs or a test of its predictive performance.
Darkfost argued that buying during comparable periods of extreme undervaluation had worked over the long term and viewed the reported reading as an opportunity rather than a reason for fear. That is the analyst’s interpretation of the model, not a guaranteed outcome.